Major Challenges Facing South Africa, 2020

Is the Republic of South Africa at a breaking point?  Major challenges include a continuation of violent crime, social unrest, economic vulnerability, and health concerns amidst the highest reported incidents of the Covid-19 epidemic in Africa—all this being managed by a government that many claim is riddled with systemic corruption and incompetence.

News24 recently[1] reported a study by the South African Medical Research Council that concludes that 17,000 more deaths should be attributed to Covid-19 than what has been reported.  The finding is based on observing that the death rate has climbed to 59% above the expected death rate in the country.  Of the official tally of 408,502 infections by 23 July, 2020[2] in the country—fifth highest in the world—about 6,000 deaths had occurred.[3]  By 3 August, 2020, the number of infections in South Africa was 516,862, and the number of deaths was 8,539.[4]  The country also reports a high percentage of tuberculosis and HIV/AIDS, and the additional deaths may be from the virus or related to the pandemic.  In 2019, one ranking of healthy countries identified South Africa as the unhealthiest in the world.[5]

Also, according to City Press,[6] the coronavirus has added a new crisis onto an old crisis in the medical care system of the Eastern Cape Province.  According to Mcebisi Ndletyana in a News24 article, the province’s health minister, Sindiswa Gomba, has had no training in health management and was even allegedly part of an embezzlement of R6 million of government funds in her previous position as an ANC politician in Buffalo City.[7]  This points out the problem of government incompetence and corruption and the affect it has on a society in the face of a crisis where leadership competence and justice are essential.  Ndletyana reports that ‘Patients sleep on the floor. Ventilators are in short supply, so doctors have to make the cruel decision of who to keep alive and who to leave to die. Local politicians who have contracted Covid-19 are even refusing to be hospitalised in the province.’[8]  Among the long list of critical problems facing the system is the need for ambulances.  MP Evelyn Wilson, of the opposition Democratic Alliance party, says that there is one ambulance per 21,000 km in the Eastern Cape Province.[9]  Amid reports of persons waiting for hours or of ambulances never arriving, the department has entered a contract to purchase scooters instead.  Staffing, from cleaners to nurses to doctors to administrators, is also part of the crisis.  In early July, 75 doctors and nurses were deployed to Port Elizabeth to help with the staffing shortages.[10]  In mid-July, the BBC’s Africa correspondent, Andrew Harding, exposed the personnel shortages, mismanagement, corruption, strikes orchestrated by the unions, filth, oxygen shortages, and deaths due to staffing shortages in hospitals in Port Elizabeth over the past few months.[11]  The virus has exposed the already tragic health system in the province.  Volkswagen has stepped up to help in the crisis, setting up a field hospital with 1,200 beds.  This only supports the view that real help can only come from outside the government’s healthcare system.

Relatedly, after opening public schools, President Cyril Ramaphosa has announced a four-week ‘break’ due to the coronavirus.  Schools are expected reopen on 24 August.  The American Academy of Pediatrics ‘strongly advocates’ school reopening.  They say, ‘Schools are fundamental to child and adolescent development and well-being and provide our children and adolescents with academic instruction, social and emotional skills, safety, reliable nutrition, physical/speech and mental health therapy, and opportunities for physical activity, among other benefits. Beyond supporting the educational development of children and adolescents, schools play a critical role in addressing racial and social inequity.’[12]  The Democratic Alliance party has challenged school closing in South Africa in court, saying that trade unions and political intrigue are behind the legally and scientifically baseless decision.  The township situation of crowded spaces, many sharing a small room, socializing, and so forth is not conducive to home lockdowns to stem the pandemic.[13]  South Africa will continue its national nutrition programme during school closures.  Some churches, now permitted to meet with up to 50 persons, have reopened. Others continue gathering online.  In Port Elizabeth, where the Covid-19 situation is dire, churches remain closed—especially because travel to meetings by taxi is a high risk.  Permits are required to travel out of the city.  Most mainline churches in South Africa are not holding worship services, and thus plate giving is dropping. Many dioceses in the Anglican Church, for example, are in financial distress. The Archbishop for the denomination has instructed all clergy 60 years and older in the Diocese of Natal to retire due to financial hardship. As a result, faithful, elderly clergy will sustain massive penalties on their pensions and face the prospect of being without accommodation. 

Unemployment was increasing before the virus.  In the last quarter of 2019, unemployment stood at 29.1%, and rose to 31.1% in the first quarter of 2020[14] (7.1 million people).  Official figures only report how many people are unemployed but looking for work—the problem is much worse.  A year ago, the Mail & Guardian noted that unemployment rose by 8.8% since 2008, with 46% black and 9.8% white unemployment.  In the North West and Eastern Cape provinces, unemployment is the worst.[15]  Fr Dudley Greenshields reports that most churches in the Port Elizabeth in the Eastern Cape are providing soup to those in need in response to unemployment, but job creation will be needed long term.

With continuous energy problems, the country is unlikely to attract foreign companies.  The power utility, Eskom, issues regular blackouts and has warned that its system is under severe pressure.[16]  The problem South Africa faces is that a locked down economy, which only slows the spread of the virus, may not be an option for its economically challenged population as it might be for America and northern Europe.

Private and foreign grants have been given to help the worsening of the economic crisis due to the lockdown of businesses.  The government has produced a R500 billion social relief and economic support package and has announced an additional R15 billion for social grant recipients.[17]  Ramaphosa also acknowledged concern about corruption in the midst of handling the coronavirus crisis, saying that there have been ‘instances where funds are stolen, where they are misused, where goods are overpriced, where food parcels are diverted from needy households—where there is corruption and mismanagement of public funds.’[18]  The Special Investigation Unit is charged with investigating corruption.  Closed businesses raise concerns about how long an economy with high unemployment prior to the virus can sustain government grants.  Bans have been in place on alcohol (to reduce the virus spread, violence, and strain on trauma units) and cigarettes.  Beaches are patrolled in some areas as a lockdown measure, while mini-bus taxis, people pressing together in a small space, are operating and full.

While the Africa National Congress has ruled in South Africa since 1994, the Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF) have a strong voice in national affairs.  The EFF calls for land expropriation without compensation, and marches and protests are occurring in the country pressing for this as well.  This concern is related to corrupt practices whereby people pose as legitimate authorities and illegally sell private land to the poor.  The officials then arrive to tear down the shacks.

This July, riots have erupted near Cape Town in the Western Cape.  A group of youth invaded some land and then took to throwing stones at trucks and the police.  Tensions rose further as violent rioters closed off roads and set buildings and a car alight.[19]  Police dispersed the crowd with rubber bullets and water from fire engines.  More extensive street rioting erupted in February, 2020 in Ladysmith, KwaZulu Natal.[20]  

Recent, brutal attacks in rural areas and the instruction not to investigate the crimes have left farmers and small communities fearful.[21]  The Transvaal Agricultural Union in South Africa reports that there were 194 attacks and 29 murders on farms in Jan. – June, 2019 and 141 farm attacks and 26 murders on farms in Jan. – June, 2020.[22]  As this article was being written, another three people were murdered on a small farm in the Northern Cape.[23]  There were 21,022 murders in South Africa in 2018/2019, and aggravated robbery was up in the last five years by 33%.[24]  There has been a decline in commercial farmers from 120,000 in 1994 to about 35,000.

Such is the situation at the end of July/beginning of August, 2020.

[A slightly earlier version of this report appeared as Rollin Grams, 'The Challenges Facing South Africa,' The Church of England Newspaper (31 July, 2020), p. 7.]



[1] Kyle Cowan,Medical Research Council reports estimated 17 000 excess deaths during Covid-19 outbreak,’ News24 (22 July, 2020); retrieved from https://www.news24.com/news24/SouthAfrica/Investigations/just-in-medical-research-council-reports-estimated-17-000-excess-deaths-during-covid-19-outbreak-20200722?isapp=true.

[2] See ‘What Ramaphosa said about School Closings and Clamping Down on Covid-19 Corruption,’ News24 (23 July, 2020); retrieved from: https://www.news24.com/news24/southafrica/news/full-text-what-ramaphosa-said-about-closing-schools-and-clamping-down-on-covid-19-corruption-20200723.

[3] News24 Friday briefing, 23 July, 2020; retrieved from https://www.news24.com/news24/analysis/friday-briefing-tracking-the-coronavirus-20200723.  As of 25 July, 2020, the Center for Systems Science and Engineering at Johns Hopkins University reports 421,996 Covid-19 cases and 6,343 deaths in South Africa.  See https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6.

[4] Statistics from Johns Hopkins’ Center for Systems Science and Engineering; retrieved from https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6 (3 August, 2020).

[5] Alison Millington, ‘South Africa has just been Ranked the Unhealthiest Country on Earth,’ Business Insider (19 March, 2019); retrieved at https://www.businessinsider.co.za/most-unhealthy-countries-in-the-world-ranked-2019-3?.

[6] Nontsikelelo Mpulo, ‘The Eastern Cape health crisis is dire, but it’s nothing new,’ City Press (23 July, 2020); retrieved from https://www.news24.com/citypress/voices/the-eastern-cape-health-crisis-is-dire-but-its-nothing-new-20200723.

[7] Mcebisi Ndletyana, ‘The Eastern Cape’s Leadership Problem,’ News24 (31 July, 2020); retrieved from https://www.news24.com/news24/columnists/guestcolumn/mcebisi-ndletyana-the-eastern-capes-leadership-problem-20200730.

[8] Ibid.

[9] Jason Felix,Covid-19: We are at a late stage of trying to save lives in the Eastern Cape - ANC MP,’ News24 (23 July, 2020); retrieved from https://www.news24.com/news24/southafrica/news/covid-19-we-are-at-a-late-stage-of-trying-to-save-lives-in-the-eastern-cape-anc-mp-20200723.

[10] Malibongwe Dayimani, ‘SANDF doctors, nurses deployed to hospitals,’ News24 (15 July, 2020); retrieved from https://www.news24.com/news24/southafrica/local/pe-express/sandf-doctors-nurses-deployed-to-hospitals-20200713.

[11] Andrew Harding, ‘Coronavirus in South Africa: Inside Port Elizabeth’s ‘Hospitals of Horrors’,’ BBC News (15 July, 2020); retrieved from https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-53396057.

[12] American Academy of Pediatrics, ‘Covid-19 Planning Considerations: Guidance for School Re-entry,’; retrieved from: https://services.aap.org/en/pages/2019-novel-coronavirus-covid-19-infections/clinical-guidance/covid-19-planning-considerations-return-to-in-person-education-in-schools/ (24 July, 2020).

[13] See this video of Alexandra township in Gauteng: https://mail.google.com/mail/u/0/#inbox/FMfcgxwJXBzLBcglGmnvwfVJwFVJkZTm.

[14] See Trading Economics’ ‘South Africa Unemployment Rate;’ retrieved from https://tradingeconomics.com/south-africa/unemployment-rate.

[15] Dennis Webster, ‘Unemployment in South Africa is Worse than You Think,’ Mail&Guardian (5 Aug., 2019); retrieved from https://mg.co.za/article/2019-08-05-unemployment-in-south-africa-is-worse-than-you-think/.

[16] Sibongile Khumalo, ‘Days after Suspending Load Shedding, Eskom Again Warns Power Grid is under ‘Severe Pressure,’ fin24 (20 July, 2020); retrieved from https://www.news24.com/fin24/economy/south-africa/days-after-suspending-load-shedding-eskom-again-warns-power-grid-is-under-severe-pressure-20200722.

[17] ‘What Ramaphosa said….’

[18] Ibid.

[19] Mzwanele Mkalipi, ‘Invaders Run Amok,’ City Vision (23 July, 2020); retrieved from https://www.news24.com/news24/SouthAfrica/Local/City-Vision/invaders-run-amok-20200722.

[21] Estelle Sinkins, ‘Intruders Beat Man Up,’ The Witness (22 July, 2020); retrieved from https://www.news24.com/news24/southafrica/news/intruders-beat-man-up-20200721.

[22] James de Villiers, ‘Farm Murders and Rural Crime: Unpacking Violence, Race and Statistics,’ News24 (20 July, 2020); retrieved from https://www.news24.com/news24/analysis/insight-farm-murders-and-rural-crime-unpacking-violence-race-and-statistics-20200719.

[23] Riaan Grobler and Murray Williams, ‘Bodies of Elderly Northern Cape Parents Found after Farm Attack,’ News24 (28 July, 2020); retrieved from https://www.news24.com/news24/southafrica/news/update-body-found-4-arrested-following-northern-cape-family-kidnapping-20200728.

[24] Ibid.

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